U.S. District Judge David Leibowitz threw out a federal case against Chelsea Cox, a Florida resident originally from Jamaica charged with illegally voting in the 2020 presidential election, ruling that the federal law criminalizing noncitizen voting is unconstitutional. The core logic: under the Constitution, only states — not Congress — have authority to set voter qualifications. Since every state already requires citizenship to vote, enforcement belongs to Florida, not the Department of Justice. The ruling is narrow in formal scope — it applies only to Cox's case and does not bind other courts. But it lands like a depth charge in the middle of the Trump administration's enforcement campaign. At least 45 similar federal cases remain pending nationwide, and at least four other defendants have raised the identical constitutional challenge. If other judges follow Leibowitz's reasoning, the DOJ's entire prosecution pipeline for noncitizen voting collapses back to state-level enforcement. The factual record in Cox's case illustrates the typical profile of these prosecutions. Court filings show she entered the U.S. as a tourist in 1999, overstayed her visa, and later used a fraudulent birth certificate from the U.S. Virgin Islands to obtain a Florida driver's license and register to vote in 2012. She was charged in October 2025 — five years after the election in question. The broader pattern is revealing. Among 129 people charged with "voting by an alien" since 2021, not one was accused of conspiring to sway an election, backing a specific candidate, or being paid to vote. Most were lawful permanent residents who registered by mistake or on the incorrect advice of an election worker or government clerk. The DOJ has charged at least 60 people with the offense since Trump returned to office in January 2025. Trump has falsely claimed that noncitizen voting cost him the 2020 election and frames it as part of a broader Democratic strategy to dilute Republican support. The actual enforcement record tells a different story: disorganized individuals caught in bureaucratic confusion, not coordinated fraud. The political narrative and the prosecutorial reality occupy different planets. Judge Leibowitz was nominated by former President Biden, a detail that will feature prominently in conservative criticism of the ruling. But his reasoning rests on federalism — a traditionally conservative constitutional principle that reserves powers to states. The irony is structural: the judge used a states'-rights argument to block federal overreach. Cox's attorney, Bruce Udolf, welcomed the ruling and expressed hope that authorities would not seek her deportation, citing declining health. Whether DOJ appeals or other courts adopt the reasoning will determine if this is a one-off or the beginning of a systematic rollback of federal noncitizen-voting prosecutions.